Why the blockade with Qatar

One hundred days of an unprecedented crisis, lands and sea blockade, family is being forced apart and the stability of the Gulf Cooperation council hanging in the balance. What many had hope would be a brief crisis has now gone on for more than three months and threatens the future of the Gulf region. Qatar has maintained it's willingness to sit down and discuss differences with it's neighbors under Kuwait mediation. But Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Egypt and UAE insist that there will be no solution to the crisis unless Doha agrees to 13 demands. Well, it's been several weeks since those demands were made public. Let's take a look at some of the more significant ones and see what's actually happen. Now despite the UAE doing more than sixteen billion dollars worth of trade with Iran last year alone and Saudi Arabia and Bahrain maintaining ties with the Islamic Republic. They demanded that Qatar sever all ties with Iran. What was Doha's responsible it decided to return it's ambassador to Tehran. He had been report a couple of years ago if you I a show of solidarity with Saudi Arabia which had withdrawn it's invoice after it's embassy was stormed following the execution of a senior Shia cleric in Riyadh. The blockading nations have accused Qatar of supporting and financing terrorist organizations. They've demanded Qatar desists. Doha has denied this allegation from the start. It has since signed an agreement with the United States to combat terror financing and it's a Saudi Arabia and it's allies to present evidence supporting their claims. So for that hasn't happened. Qatar is not only home to the largest US military base abroad, it also hosts Turkish soldiers as part of a military agreement signed back in 2014. Now it's now clear why the blockading countries have demanded that Qatar expels Turkish troop and hold the establishment of the base. Did Qatar agree to the demand. Quite the opposite, the presence of Turkish army personnel, Qatar has been accelerated as part of what both countries have described as a strategic partnership in combating terrorism and stabilizing the region. One of the more outrageous demands of the blockading country is that Qatar shuts down Al Jazeera. They've accused the network of inciting terrorism and have also demanded that numerous other media outlets be shut down including some online news sites that aren't base in or funded by Qatar.

Busy time for Qatar's foreign minister, Sheikh Muhammad Bin Abdul Rahman Al-thani has traveled the world to rally support for Qatar neighboring Saudi Arabia, the UAE as well as Egypt imposed a sea and land blockade on June 5th and cut diplomatic ties. The rift continues as the Saudi-led courted insist Qatar must meet list of 13 demands that include closing a Turkish military base, scaling down ties with Iran and shutting the Al Jazeera Network. While SAudi Arabia is a powerful payer, some think it's the UAE that leads the push to further isolate Qatar. The UAE did not believe in the same values that Qatar believes in. They don't believe that we should have a foreign and security policy that looks at the Middle East to tries to reform the Middle East in a way to create social political inclusion or pluralistic governance or freedom of speech. The UAE have taken a different approach. They believe the Middle East can only be stable and resilient when it's run by authoritarian dictatorship. The Emir of Qatar spoke to Saudi Arabia's Crown prince on Friday afar agreeing on on resolving the crisis Saudi Arabia, backtracked and suspended further talks. The UAE's crown prince, Muhammad Bin Zayed is widely seen as the man with huge influence over Muhammad Bin Salman, the relatively inexperience Saudi Crown Prince. Muhammad Bin Zayed has turned towards the AAU as a role model to say how can we reform Saudi Arabia to make it more sustainable resilient in the future. Muhammad's Aid has been drags on. Kuwait's Emir who is mediating the dispute recently told US president Donald Trump that a solution is just a matter of time. We have also seen some seen some American Changes in the American position softened especially by the president Trump compared to his early positions in the early days of the crisis. I think he started to be a little more balanced. This was clear in his press conference with the Emir of Kuwait. Also, taking about the unity of the Gulf countries and all united whether it's in character or encountering extremism and terrorism in the region. But if diplomacy fails to heal the rift, the fear is further regional instability.

I think the Emir of Kuwait knows well that if the crises runs for long, we are going to see probably two blocks within the GCC. One is led by Saudi Arabia, Emirates and Bahrain and the other will actually have Qatar, and Oman. To a lesser extent, probably Kuwait will be having two GCC rather than one.

The Saudis, the Emiratis in particular are still keen actually on copper surrendering completely to their demands. This is something that Qatar will not do. Qatar has made it clear many times by the Emir of Qatar and by other Qatari officials that they cannot actually accept a total surrender. They want the negotiation, mutual concession by all sides to solve the crisis